Tips of the day

Why this pick: The Belgians are priced as far too clear favourites; I don’t see such a gulf in class. And in general, it is hard to believe that Turkey will simply lose all their matches in the Nations League group by a one-sided margin. Even if the Belgians win, it is unlikely to be by two goals or more.

UEFA Nations LeagueWon1:1

FranceItaly

Why this pick: In Italy’s case, the situation is different, as there is no consistency in their results. And matches against top opponents such as France are an excellent test of resilience. We’ll see whether Mancini’s charges manage to pass it. I cannot agree with today’s odds. France plays very pragmatically, especially in tournaments like these. And Italy simply cannot afford to fall apart in a game against such an opponent. The visitors have clearly been underestimated.

UEFA Nations LeagueWon1:1

Bosnia & HerzegovinaSweden

Why this pick: The group leaders meet: Bosnia have 4 points, while Sweden have 6. In theory, a draw would also suit Sweden, but we can see that the team simply cannot sit back and keep a clean sheet. So in any case, they will have to rely on their attacking line. I believe both teams will score in this match.

UEFA Nations LeagueWon1:0

HungaryGeorgia

Why this pick: Without a doubt, both Hungary and Georgia set themselves much higher goals before the start of this tournament than they have actually achieved so far. But overly open play and an unreliable defense could lead to even worse consequences. I do not expect bright and open football.