Tips of the day

La LigaWon1:2

EspanyolReal Madrid

Why this pick: Madrid's reshaping defense is still making mistakes. Espanyol can take advantage of this and contribute to the match's goals.

Serie AWon0:2

GenoaNapoli

Why this pick: Judging by the head-to-head meetings, we have seen fairly high-scoring matches. Napoli won the last two games — 2:1 at home and 3:2 away. It is worth noting that Napoli have not lost to this opponent in 8 consecutive matches. I think we will see this run continue today, while I also suggest believing in a high-scoring scenario once again.

Serie AWon0:1

ParmaCagliari

Why this pick: The hosts’ style has not changed, while the visitors do not have an attack strong enough to make the match high-scoring on their own. I expect a cautious start to the season with few dangerous chances.

Super CupWon1:2

Borussia DortmundBayern München

Why this pick: The Munich side have been regularly conceding, while the hosts have consistently scored against them in Dortmund. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, BTTS was combined with Over 2.5. I expect the streak to continue.

Serie AWon4:1

InterMonza

Why this pick: It is no surprise that Inter are considered the clear favourites for the upcoming match. However, I would still consider betting on the total over, given Monza’s scoring record. Obviously, in Serie A the team may change its tactics and play more pragmatically, with an emphasis on the result, but I think that in the opening rounds we will see echoes of a more open style of play. Incidentally, Inter have conceded to their opponents in their last 4 head-to-head matches, and it is quite possible that this trend will continue today.

Premier LeagueWon3:0

BrentfordTottenham

Why this pick: Both teams have the means to create chances, while the reliability of their defenses raises questions. I expect an open match with at least 3 goals.

Serie AWon1:1

UdineseComo

Why this pick: Last season, Udinese failed to score against Como in either of their two meetings. The home match ended 0:0, while away the team lost 1:0. Como have a stronger squad and are capable of avoiding defeat at the very least. However, I do not expect high-scoring football from these opponents at the start of the season.

Premier LeagueLost4:1

AkhmatFC Rostov

Why this pick: On the other hand, no more than three goals have usually been scored in their head-to-head meetings, which is supported by the current statistics of both teams. I am betting on 1X (Akhmat win or draw) and Under 3.5.

Premier LeagueLost0:0

FakelFC Orenburg

Why this pick: I’ll bet on BTTS. Fakel, despite their low scoring rate, are generating 1.22 xG. Orenburg score 1.5 goals on average but concede around 2. In five of the six games involving the visitors, both teams scored.

Premier LeagueWon2:0

Hull CityManchester United

Why this pick: Hull City will try not to lose face in front of their home fans — the playoff matches in the Championship showed that the team can defend reliably. The hosts are underdogs, and they are unlikely to take risks. Manchester United are a more productive side, but in their case too I expect a more cautious start.