Tips of the day

Serie AWon1:1

SantosMirassol

Why this pick: I give Santos the edge thanks to their dominance in head-to-head meetings and better form (one defeat in a month compared with Mirassol’s zero wins). However, I do not expect a high-scoring shootout: Santos’s statistics are very restrained, and we are unlikely to see more than 3.5 goals. I am betting on a home win and Under 3.5.

Major League SoccerWon1:1

New England RevolutionNew York City FC

Why this pick: I give the home team a one-hundred-percent advantage. New England are stronger in terms of form, statistics, and the history of their home meetings. However, there is no point expecting more than three goals. Both teams play cautiously in head-to-head matches, while the visitors score few goals away from home. I am betting on a New England win and Under 3.5.

La LigaWon0:5

ElcheBarcelona

Why this pick: The hosts could well upset the Spanish giant — the results show that they are not afraid to push forward, keep possession and seize the initiative. And little has fundamentally changed in Barcelona’s style: Hansi Flick is still at the helm, the high press remains, the attacking line has not weakened at all, and many players will want to prove themselves from the opening rounds.

Serie AWon1:2

TorinoAC Milan

Why this pick: Torino have nothing to lose at the start of the season, and their current form also shows that they are doing fairly well. It is still difficult to draw any broad conclusions about Amorim's Milan — more time is needed. There have been both ups and downs in the friendly matches. At the moment, BTTS seems the most reasonable option.

Premier LeagueWon2:0

Spartak MoscowZenit

Why this pick: A draw would be no tragedy for either the red-and-whites or the St. Petersburg side. Zenit can clearly see that their opponent has strengthened, and cannot afford to underestimate them. In such matches, the St. Petersburg side know how to defend reliably. Therefore, I expect a low-scoring scenario. Both teams will play cautiously to avoid making mistakes.

Serie AWon0:1

FrosinoneJuventus

Why this pick: It is important for Juventus to start the championship without dropping points, but there is no need to thrash the opponent. Frosinone will defend with many players, while the visitors will try to achieve a result in a pragmatic style. One or two goals should be enough for the Turin side to win.

La LigaWon2:2

Atletico MadridVillarreal

Why this pick: In 5 of the 6 head-to-head meetings over the last 3 seasons, both teams scored. Considering the attacking potential of the opponents and their current defensive problems, I expect this run to continue.

First LeagueWon1:1

LeningradetsChelyabinsk

Why this pick: I give the edge to Leningradets as a team that does not lose at home and plays reliably in defence. The second option is to additionally bet that we will not see more than three goals. I’m betting on 1X and Under 3.5.

Major League SoccerLost5:0

Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

Why this pick: I favor the away side. The bookmaker is offering high odds on them, so I’ll bet that Dallas will not lose by more than one goal. In other words, the visitors will either win, draw, or lose by the minimum margin.

Major League SoccerWon1:1

AustinPhiladelphia Union

Why this pick: Philadelphia have the edge in the head-to-head meetings. Their two away matches in 2024 ended in 1:1 and 2:2 draws. The visitors are unbeaten, are in optimal form, and have taken points off one of the league leaders. Austin’s xG figures are understated, while their victories look accidental. I think the visitors will not lose. I expect at least two goals in the match, which is confirmed by the statistics of both teams.

Major League SoccerLost2:1

St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo

Why this pick: I favor the visitors. They have the head-to-head advantage, and their perfect defense, with no goals conceded over the past month, makes them clear favorites. St. Louis have had some slip-ups, which makes them vulnerable today. However, I do not expect more than four goals given the figures mentioned. I am betting on Houston Dynamo to win or draw and Under 4.5.