Major League SoccerWon0:0
DC United
Los Angeles FCPickUnder 3Odds 1.76
Why this pick: Based on what has been said, today I would simply bet on a low-scoring game. Neither team scores particularly often, both are struggling, and neither has won in four matches. Los Angeles also has consistently produced low-scoring results. So that is what I will play.
Major League SoccerLost7:1
Inter Miami
CF MontrealPickBTTS yes & Under 5.5Odds 1.92
Why this pick: The thing is that in all 5 of Inter Miami’s matches, there have been no more than 5.5 goals scored, while in Montreal’s last 5 matches, there have been no more than 4. And the most interesting thing is the head-to-head record: in 4 of the 6 matches, both teams scored, but in 5 of the 6, there were no more than 5 goals. So, let’s play on this at the very good odds of 1.92.
Major League SoccerLost0:2
Atlanta United FC
CharlottePickBTTS yes & Over 2.5Odds 1.73
Why this pick: Obviously, we should expect a shootout today. Both teams are in form, and the head-to-head history and individual statistics fully confirm the goal-scoring trend. I’m betting on BTTS and Over 2.5.
Major League SoccerWon2:2
Seattle Sounders
Chicago FirePickDraw or away & BTTS yesOdds 2.03
Why this pick: I favor Chicago. Even taking possible rotation into account, the team is in excellent form and capable of at least a draw. Seattle are unstable and concede goals, while the visitors consistently score and create chances. I expect a high-scoring game, as confirmed by current trends and the history of the head-to-head meetings. I’m betting on X2 and both teams to score.
La LigaWon1:3
Sevilla
Atletico MadridPickDraw or away & Over 1.5Odds 1.72
Why this pick: Today I suggest considering the following option: the away team will not lose and the total will be over 1.5. Even judging by their head-to-head meetings, the teams periodically entertain spectators with goals, and I don't think we will see a low-scoring scenario here. Sevilla sometimes looks shaky in defense, while Atlético Madrid also does not look as pragmatic at the start of the season as we are used to.
Serie AWon2:0
Juventus
ParmaPickUnder 3Odds 1.75
Why this pick: Juventus is also associated more with pragmatism. In the introduction, I mentioned for good reason that the Bianconeri have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their last 8 games, and this was during a period of friendly matches, when the team defends with less concentration. In official matches, the situation should be even better.
Pro LeagueLost0:3
Al-Ettifaq
Al DiriyahPickBTTS yes & Under 5.5Odds 1.80
Why this pick: I expect both teams to score. Based on the xG figures, both teams regularly create chances and concede them at their own goal. I’ll bet on goals and both teams scoring.
Premier LeagueWon3:3
Akhmat
Krylia SovetovPickHome or draw & BTTS yesOdds 2.16
Why this pick: I’m relying on the head-to-head record and form. Akhmat’s is better; at home, the team lost only to Spartak late in the game. In six of the eight head-to-head matches, Akhmat avoided defeat. However, both teams’ defenses are unreliable. Both teams scored in five of the eight meetings. That’s what I’ll bet on.
BundesligaLost2:0
Borussia Dortmund
Hamburger SVPickOver 3Odds 1.75
Why this pick: In each of Hamburg's 5 matches, at least 3 goals were scored, and in the Cup the team also started with a 3:0 victory. It is clear that Borussia are the favourites in this pairing. The last head-to-head meeting between these teams ended in a 3:2 victory for Dortmund. I think the fans will once again see plenty of goals today.
In play
Shafa BakuImishli
Pick••••••••••••In the app
First LeagueLost0:1
Tekstilshchik
VelesPickBTTS yesOdds 1.90
Why this pick: Tekstilshchik cannot be underestimated at home. The team scores at least one goal in half of its matches. Veles have an unreliable defense (conceding ~1.25 per game) and struggle away from home. I expect both teams to score. I am betting on BTTS.
In play
GabalaShamakhi
Pick••••••••••••In the app
BundesligaLost3:2
SV Elversberg
Bayer LeverkusenPickDraw or away & Under 4.5Odds 1.61
Why this pick: Elversberg performed reliably at home last season and will try to play as cautiously as possible in their debut match. I can see the newcomer taking points from the favorite, but I do not expect many goals here.
BundesligaLost3:0
RB Leipzig
Borussia MönchengladbachPickBTTS yes & Over 2.5Odds 1.88
Why this pick: Borussia have won all 6 friendly matches, consistently scoring at least 2 goals. With Kleindienst’s return, their attacking potential has become even greater. I expect an exciting match with goals at both ends.
The rest of today’s picks are in the app
We publish one pick a day here in full. The whole list, with the odds and the model’s reasoning for every match, opens in the Sport AInsights app.
Tips are model output for information only, not financial advice. Bet responsibly, 18+.